We have all had the value debate before but sometimes discussions are to be had more than once.
2008/09 Upper Deck Black Basketball was released the other day and it is the hot box break on the blowout forums. The boxes run 226. Here is the rundown.
Essentially you get two "hits" per box. Here are the Ebay listings.
I agree that we should not be buying boxes hoping to get our money back out of them, but good lord when a Larry Bird patch is going for $75 bucks, that is a sad day indeed. That card seems like a pretty nice hit to me, but you are taking a $38 loss on that half of the box.
At least with Exquisite you get a chance at a few different cards. My point being that if you get a Larry Bird patch out of Exquisite, it is probably going to sell for the same price as the UD Black card. Exquisite comes out at $125 a card, so a few dollars more but you get 5 cards to see if you can get your money out. In addition, Exquisite is packed out, not based on dollar value, but based on tier level of cards. All Tier 1's are not equal in resale value so you might get 1 out of 5 that is great and 4 decent cards. So one card out of Exquisite that sells for $20 bucks is going to suck, but you aren't 50% down like you are if you got the same card out of Black.
Anyway, I'm just not seeing the value in this product at all. The market is becoming extremely flooded in LeBron, Kobe, Jordan and Russell autos. For example, this Bill Russell logo auto/10 sold for $100. Got $155? You could have had this Kareem/Magic auto. Wow. Just wow. Too many high end sets I suppose. These cards have lost their impact.
Anyway, the guys on the Blowout Forums are going crazy over this stuff. Don't get me wrong, there are some sweet cards here and I am still considering buying some Black and am all about my Exquisite break, although all that interest I had early on hasn't materialized into spot reservations, but if you are busting this stuff to make money you are just stupid. My point is you should buy this stuff to collect, not to sell. Hence, why are you so excited to bust those 3 boxes to resell when you have, at most $500 in cards and you have $700 into it. Way to sell those cards for $50-$75 when, dude, you paid $125 bucks for that card.